Cuomo Leads in Polls for NYC Mayoral Race, Dominating Adams Among Black Voters

A new Bold Decision poll, released on Wednesday, January 22nd, revealed that former Governor Andrew Cuomo is poised to dominate the Democratic primary for New York City mayor if he enters the race. The survey shows Cuomo outperforming current Mayor Eric Adams among key demographics, including Black voters, who have been considered Adams’ stronghold.

The poll, conducted from January 7-13 with 807 likely Democratic voters, indicates Cuomo as the first-choice candidate for 33% of respondents. Mayor Adams lags far behind at 10%, followed by former Comptroller Scott Stringer at 9%. When undecided voters are excluded, Cuomo secures 43% in the first round of ranked-choice voting and ultimately garners 65% in the final round, compared to Stringer’s 35%.

Among Black voters, who traditionally support Adams, Cuomo emerges as the first choice for 46%, with Adams receiving just 18%. This shift is significant as Adams has relied heavily on this demographic in previous elections. Analysts attribute the dissatisfaction to Adams’ low approval ratings, with 73% of likely voters viewing him unfavorably and only 23% offering favorable opinions. Additionally, 84% rate his job performance as “poor” or “fair,” reflecting widespread discontent.

Crime remains a pivotal issue in the race, with 57% of respondents believing city crime is worsening and 70% citing deteriorating subway safety. These concerns have eroded support for Adams, who faces challenges not only from the polling data but also from ongoing legal issues, including bribery allegations.

Cuomo’s favorability ratings stand at 55%, making him a polarizing but formidable candidate. If he declares his candidacy within the next two weeks, as rumors suggest, he could capitalize on the growing disillusionment with the current administration. His potential return to politics follows his 2021 resignation amid sexual misconduct allegations, which he has consistently denied.

The Democratic primary is set for June 24th. With Bold Decision’s findings spotlighting widespread dissatisfaction and Cuomo’s commanding lead across demographics, the race could redefine New York City’s political landscape.