Momentum is shifting in New York City’s mayoral race as Andrew Cuomo gains ground in the final hours before voters head to the polls. The latest AtlasIntel survey released Monday shows the former governor closing in on Democratic candidate Zohran Mamdani, narrowing the margin to just 4.5 percentage points.
Conducted between October 30 and November 2, the poll reports Mamdani at 43.9% and Cuomo at 39.4%, with Republican Curtis Sliwa dropping sharply from 24.1% to 15.5%. The decline among Sliwa’s supporters appears to have benefited Cuomo, whose steady rise has turned the contest into a near toss-up on the eve of Election Day.
A separate head-to-head analysis between Cuomo and Mamdani shows Cuomo holding 49.7% support compared to Mamdani’s 44.1%. The results suggest most voters have already made their decisions, leaving little room for dramatic shifts before ballots are cast.
Poll findings point to Cuomo’s widening reach across several voter groups. His strongest support comes from women, older residents, and middle-income earners, along with growing backing among Asian, Black, and Hispanic voters. He also continues to draw favor from Republicans, independents, and many who sat out previous elections.
The tightening margin underscores how fluid the race remains and how turnout could prove decisive. As both campaigns mount their final push, Cuomo acknowledged the encouraging trend, noting that “the momentum is ours” as his campaign works to turn out voters citywide. “We are going to win,” he said.
