The latest Democratic Mayoral Primary Barometer Survey from the Honan Strategy Group offers revealing insights into the race for New York City mayor. Conducted in collaboration with five Chambers of Commerce across the city, the survey interviewed 823 likely Democratic primary voters ahead of the June 2025 election.
Former Governor Andrew Cuomo leads the field with 45% of voter support, up four points since the last survey in March. This increase coincides with Mayor Eric Adams’ withdrawal from the race, which appears to have shifted a large portion of Adams’ base to Cuomo. Following Cuomo is Queens Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani, who has also seen a 4-point bump, bringing him to 22%. All other candidates remain below the 10% mark, while 14% of voters are still undecided.
In an exclusive interview with LittleAfrica News, pollster Bradley Honan noted that Cuomo is enjoying significant support among Black and Latino voters. According to Honan, Cuomo now commands 62% of the Black vote and 68% of the Latino vote—groups that previously leaned toward Adams. Honan emphasized that Adams’ broader political coalition—including Black, Caribbean, Latino, Jewish, and white ethnic voters—has largely transferred its support to Cuomo following Adams’ withdrawal.
The survey also included a ranked-choice voting simulation, which further underscored Cuomo’s dominance. While largely academic, the simulation showed Cuomo winning outright in the first round with 53%—above the 50% threshold needed for victory. By the seventh round, Cuomo held 64% to Mamdani’s 36%.
The poll employed a text-to-web methodology and was conducted between April 16 and 17. The sample was demographically and geographically representative of the city’s Democratic electorate and included voters registered after January 1, 2024, to reflect the growing “anti-Trump surge” bloc.
In summary, the findings affirm Cuomo’s strong position in the Democratic primary, with Mamdani emerging as a formidable contender. However, with a significant portion of voters still undecided, the race remains fluid as June approaches.
